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DP World Tour Championship Preview

DP World Tour Championship
Photo Copyright Steve Haag Sport

Tommy Fleetwood’s heroics at Sun City helped to keep the fire burning in the Race to Dubai. His emotional triumph ensured that one of five players can still claim the title depending on what happens in the DP World Tour Championship.

Bernd Wiesberger is still in pole position following a solid showing at the Gary Player Country Club. A solo 2nd will guarantee him victory regardless of the other performers.

Tommy Fleetwood will need a solo 3rd or better to have any chance of claiming victory. Elsewhere, Shane Lowry, Matt Fitzpatrick and Jon Rahm will need ever more complex result machinations to ensure success. It has actually percolated rather perfectly for this season-ending event.

The DP World Tour Championship was instilled ten years ago in accordance with the newly designed Race to Dubai series.

It was a direct imitation of the monolithic Fed Ex Cup format. It now is also the final leg of the Rolex Series events.

Lee Westwood won the inaugural staging of this event and history has clearly demonstrated that this course favours quality champions.

The Earth Course at Jumeirah Golf Estate has been the host course of this event since its inception back in 2009.

The top 50 players in the Race to Dubai standings are in attendance, with Tony Finau replaced by JB Hansen for this week’s finale.

It’s no wonder that Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm lead the markets this week. They are both former champions here and are past masters of desert golf.

Defending champion Danny Willett has continued his resurgence with a brilliant victory at Wentworth earlier this season.

Tommy Fleetwood joins McIlroy and Hatton in search of a 2nd consecutive victory this week. Patrick Reed and Justin Rose are just a few more names in what is setting out to be a spectacular week in Dubai.

DP World Tour Championship Past Winners

2018: Danny Willett (-18)
2017: Jon Rahm (-19)
2016: Matthew Fitzpatrick (-17)
2015: Rory McIlroy (-21)
2014: Henrik Stenson (-16)

Outright Betting

Rory McIlroy (7/2)
Jon Rahm (13/2)
Tommy Fleetwood (16/1)
Patrick Reed (18/1)
Justin Rose (18/1)

Value Bets

Tyrell Hatton
To Win (20/1)

Tyrell Hatton has rediscovered his chi in recent weeks and will be looking to make it back-to-back wins following his Turkish Airlines Open victory.

Prior to that epic six-man playoff victory, Hatton had three top 20’s and another top 10 in his previous four starts.

He also enters this event with amazing tournament form. His form stats at Jumeirah read T6-T13-2-T8 and T22.

Hatton looks a far more appealing bet than the ridiculously short odds of Rahm and McIlroy.

Sergio Garcia
To Win (50/1)

50/1 for Sergio Garcia always rings great value to me. Especially when you take into consideration that Garcia has six wins over the course of the last three years.

It has been a quiet month for the Spaniard leading up to this season-ending showcase. But lest we forget he finished in a tie for 7th four starts back in Spain. A week prior to that he actually tasted victory at the KLM Open.

He had a bad Asian swing but enters an event in which he has metronomic returns. In eight starts the worst finish he has mustered at the Earth Course is a 21st place finish.

He has back-to-back top 10’s here leading into this event.

The Man to Beat

Patrick Reed
To Win (18/1)

Of all the guys in the upper echelons of the betting stakes, Reed strikes me as perhaps the best value this week.

The 2017 Masters Champion will be feeling energized by his recent selection onto the President’s Cup team.

Reed has three top 10’s in his last four starts. That included a tie for 10th last time out in Turkey. That is almost a misleading finish when you consider that six men participated in that playoff.

Reed also has excellent course form, with top 10 finishes in all of his appearances here.

For all the accusations levelled at Reed for being a typical boorish American, he has shown huge respect for the European Tour and continues to ply his trade on the continent.

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